Amafaranga yinjira mu mishinga mito n'iciriritse (SMEs) yiyongereyeho 5.2% mu gihembwe cya kabiri cy'umwaka wa 2024 ugereranije n'icyo gihe cyo mu 2023, nk'uko Omie Index yerekana ubukungu bw’imishinga mito n'iciriritse (IODE-PMEs). Igisubizo cyiza gisoza igihembwe hamwe no kwiyongera kwa 4.3% ugereranije nigihe kimwe cyumwaka ushize.
IODE-PMEs ikora nka termometero yubukungu ku masosiyete yinjiza buri mwaka agera kuri miliyoni 50 z'amadolari y’Amerika, agizwe no gukurikirana ibikorwa by’ubukungu 701 bigizwe n’imirenge ine minini: Ubucuruzi, Inganda, Ibikorwa Remezo, na Serivisi.
Nk’uko byatangajwe na Felipe Beraldi, impuguke mu by'ubukungu akaba n'umuyobozi ushinzwe ibipimo ngenderwaho n'ubushakashatsi muri Omie , urubuga rushingiye ku bicu (ERP), ngo imishinga mito n'iciriritse yungukiwe n'ihindagurika ry'umuryango winjiza - hamwe n'imikorere y'isoko ry'umurimo na politiki ya leta yo kwagura amafaranga - ndetse n'ingaruka z'ukuzamuka kw'inyungu zagabanijwe na Banki Nkuru, hagati ya Kanama y'umwaka ushize na Gicurasi 2024.
Igishushanyo 1: IODE-SMEs
(Umubare ngenderwaho - shingiro: 2021 ugereranije = 100)
Inkomoko: IODE-PMEs (Omie)
Isesengura ry’imirenge ryerekana ko ibigo bito n'ibiciriritse mu rwego rw’inganda bikomeje kugira uruhare runini mu kuzamura isoko, hamwe na 11.9% (YoY) byiyongereye muri icyo gihe. Iri terambere ryamamaye mu bikorwa 18 mu bikorwa 22 by’umurenge, birimo 'Amavuta yo gusiga', 'Metallurgie', 'Gucapa no kubyara amajwi', na 'Gufata neza, gusana no gushyiraho imashini n’ibikoresho', ibyo byose bikaba byarazamutse.
Beraldi abisobanura agira ati: "Kwiyongera kw'imbere mu gihugu no kugabanya umuvuduko w'ibiciro bigira ingaruka nziza ku nganda nto. Ku bw'ibyo, igice cyo kuzamuka mu nyungu z’iki gice kigaragaza koroshya ifaranga ry'ibicuruzwa (IPA-FGV), ryari ryanditseho ifaranga kugeza muri Gicurasi (-1,7% byegeranijwe mu mezi 12)".
Impuguke mu by'ubukungu yerekana ko ikindi kintu cyagaragaye mu gihembwe gishize ari ukugarura imishinga mito n'iciriritse mu rwego rw’Ubucuruzi, yiyandikishije ko yiyongereyeho 4,6% ugereranije n’igihembwe cya kabiri cy’umwaka wa 2023. Ibisubizo ni byiza haba mu bicuruzwa byinshi (+ 7.5% YoY) - hibandwa ku 'Ibitabo, ibinyamakuru n’ibindi bitabo', 'Cement' na 'Isuku, hamwe n’ibicuruzwa byo mu rugo' hamwe na farumasi + 'Glassware', na 'Haberdashery ibintu' kuba ibikorwa byiza.
Mu rwego rwa Serivisi, nubwo ibisubizo bikiri byiza mu gihembwe cya kabiri (+ 0,6% YoY), ibimenyetso byo gutinda bitangiye kugaragara. Beraldi yagize ati: "Nubwo izamuka ry’amafaranga rishyigikira urwego, gutakaza icyizere mu bakozi bashinzwe ubukungu bishobora kuba byaragize ingaruka mbi ku byinjira mu turere tumwe na tumwe."
Mubikorwa byingenzi harimo 'Ibikorwa byimari nubwishingizi', 'Amacumbi na serivisi zokurya', na 'Uburezi'. Ku rundi ruhande, 'Ibikorwa by'Ubuyobozi na serivisi zunganira', byitwaye neza mu ntangiriro z'umwaka, byarangiye igihembwe cya kabiri kigabanuka.
Mu gice cy'Ibikorwa Remezo, ariko, imishinga mito n'iciriritse igaragara cyane ku yandi masoko, yiyandikisha ku gipimo cya 4,6% (YoY) mu gihembwe cya kabiri cy'umwaka wa 2024.Ibisubizo bibi bigaragaza imikorere idahwitse mu bice bimwe na bimwe by'inganda zubaka, nka 'Ibikorwa Remezo' na 'Ubwubatsi'. Ariko, kwiyongera mubikorwa bya 'Serivise zihariye zubwubatsi', 'Gukusanya Amazi, Gutunganya no Gukwirakwiza', na 'Gukusanya imyanda, gutunganya no kujugunya' byabujije kugabanuka gutunguranye.
Igishushanyo 2: IODE-SMEs - gusenyuka kwinzego
(2Q2024 x 2Q2023)
Inkomoko: IODE-PMEs (Omie)
Iyo ugabanijwe n'akarere, IODE-PMEs irerekana kandi ko iterambere mu gihembwe gishize ryatewe n'imikorere ya SMEs mu majyepfo y'iburasirazuba (yazamutseho 2,2% ugereranije na Q2 2023), Amajyaruguru y'Uburasirazuba (+ 9.5%) n'Amajyepfo (+ 5.6%). Mu turere two hagati-Uburengerazuba n’Amajyaruguru, IODE-PMEs yerekanye kugabanuka muri SMEs muri kiriya gihe (-2.2% na -9.5%).
Ibigo bito n'ibiciriritse biteganijwe kwiyongera ku kigero kimwe na GDP muri 2025.
Bitewe no guhangana n’isoko ry’umurimo (hamwe n’ubushomeri bugera ku rwego rwo hasi rw’amateka ya 7% mu mezi ashize) hamwe n’ingaruka ziterwa no koroshya politiki y’ifaranga (hamwe n’igipimo cya Selic cyagabanutse kuva muri Kanama umwaka ushize), biteganijwe ko imishinga mito n'iciriritse izakomeza kwiyongera mu gice cya kabiri cy’umwaka kandi ikarangira 2024 hamwe n’amafaranga yinjiza menshi ugereranije na 2023.
Nk’uko Beraldi abitangaza ngo inyungu iri hejuru kuruta uko byari byitezwe mbere - hamwe n'ibiteganijwe kuva kuri 9.5% kugeza 10% ku mwaka - bivuze ko bidatera imbaraga zo gukura mu nguzanyo. Ibi bivamo gukurura gake kubikoresha no gushora imari. Hariho kandi umwanya muto ku isoko rishya ry’umurimo n’ubushake buke bw’ingengo y’imari umwaka utaha bitewe n’uko hakenewe cyane ihinduka ry’imikoreshereze ya Leta.
Beraldi yongeyeho ati: "Hamwe n'ibi, twibwira ko ubwihindurize bw'isoko rito n'iciriritse rizibanda mu nzego za serivisi n'ubucuruzi - ibyo bikaba byerekana ko bizakomeza gukoreshwa mu ngo". Ibiteganijwe, nk'uko impuguke mu by'ubukungu ibivuga, igipimo cy’inyungu kizongera kugabanuka mu 2025 nacyo kigomba gutanga ingaruka nziza ku bikorwa remezo, cyane cyane mu iyubakwa ry’abaturage.
