"Easy money" from influencer betting promotions hides mathematical trap, warn specialists

In a scenario where sports betting has become ubiquitous, a public utility warning is necessary to protect an especially vulnerable target audience. data show that 8 out of 10 players are from classes C, D and E , and most are made up of inexperienced young people, with 48% starting to bet only in 2024. It is to this group that the narratives of “easy money” promoted by influencers are directed.

The silent epidemic of the “ready tickets”

in your new Guide for Beginners, Clube da Aposta analyzes how the promise to transform few reais into thousands through ready-made tickets — betting indications that bring together several different games to increase multipliers of possible gains — clashes with reality. The high engagement of this type of high engagement strategy (50% of players bets weekly) has a concrete impact on the family budget, with 23% of gamblers admitting to having cut clothes expenses and 19% with supermarket to be able to continue playing.

“I bet you have already been bombarded by influencers saying that they are the kings of bets or that they played for Tigrinho and earned easy money”, says Jonas Caetano, a reference in sports bets from the ‘Canal do Clubão’, to the newbies of the betting universes. “What no ads or advertisements of this type will tell you is the dark side of bets. There are people who think they will become a millionaire overnight and end up losing everything.”

Mathematics that favors bookmakers and mental health risks

The guide goes deeper into explaining why multiple bets are so dangerous, contributing to a scenario where 51% of gamblers report an increase in anxiety and 38.6% already present a risk for the development of game disorder. The promise of turning a few dollars into thousands with “ready tickets” thus hides a trap both mathematical and emotional.

This is because the chance of winning a bet from this profile is based on multiplying the probabilities of each event. Thus, a ticket with only three selections of 50% of chance, for example, would already reduce the probability of a hit to just 12.5%. With more selections, even for sporting events that have ample favorites, the chance of a ticket sold as 'easy' to materialize can become less than 0.1% depending on the accumulation of games within the same ticket.

As expert Gabriel Gregório warns, the 'Gabica', it is precisely in this tempting option that "bookmakers take a good part of the gains from loss of bettors. When you multiply multiple bets with unfair prizes, your disadvantage increases even more.”

Education as the main defense tool

Given this scenario, experts reinforce that education is the most crucial tool for consumer protection. The answer to the narrative of “easy money”, according to the Clubão channel, is knowledge, which allows the public to differentiate between investments and investments — a dangerous confusion for 22% of bettors, according to data from Anbima (Brazilian Association of Financial and Capital Markets entities).

For a more controlled experience, the recommendation of the betting club specialists is the adoption of defense pillars such as banking management (betting small percentages of the total balance to survive bad phases) and emotional control (not to try to recover impulsive losses). The orientation is to treat the “ready tickets” as “bingos”, betting only negligible values if there is interest, thus building a Approach that prioritizes financial health over the search for unreal profits.