In just three months of operation in Brazil, TikTok Shop has shown it did not come to play a minor role in e-commerce. The numbers are impressive: gross merchandise volume jumped from US$1 million in May to US$46.1 million in August, a 4,500% increase in a very short period. More than just statistics, this growth raises a warning flag for Mercado Livre, the sector leader in Latin America.
According to Itaú BBA, the Chinese platform already represents about 2% of Mercado Livre's sales in the country—a significant share for an entity still in its infancy in local operations. Half of this performance comes from the marketplace tab, whose traffic already rivals that of the Argentine platform. This shows that ByteDance's strength lies not only in its social network but also in its ability to convert audience into direct consumption, creating an entertainment-driven shopping ecosystem.
TikTok Shop's offensive adds to an already competitive environment. Shopee maintains accelerated growth, around 60% to 70% per year, while Amazon strengthens its logistics infrastructure and seller relationships. For Mercado Livre, the challenge is not only to defend market share but also to preserve profitability amid heavy investments in logistics, payments, customer loyalty, and new services.
“The truth is that it is still too early to predict the scale of this disruption. But one thing is clear: we are witnessing a profound transformation in international commerce and consumer psychology. The factory has become an influencer. Content has become a sales channel. And the consumer, increasingly conscious and digital, is willing to experiment—even if it means rethinking everything they knew about brands,” states Rebecca Fischer, Co-founder and Chief Strategy Officer (CSO) by Divibank.
TikTok's move, however, may have a positive side effect for the entire ecosystem. By intensifying competition, it accelerates the migration of offline consumption to online, expanding the reach of digital commerce. The question is whether Mercado Livre can maintain its lead in a game where aggressive pricing and integrated experience are as crucial as logistics efficiency.
The market is now watching to see if TikTok Shop's meteoric expansion will be sustainable in the medium term or if it was driven by initial incentives to attract sellers and consumers. Regardless, the platform's arrival reshapes the balance of power in Brazilian e-commerce and pressures established leaders to accelerate their innovation capabilities.
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